============================= Your First Scenario (Detailed) ============================= **A complete walkthrough of running your first energy scenario** This detailed guide walks you through every step of exploring a VerveStacks model, from initial discovery to interpreting results and making your first modifications. Step 1: Choose Your Country =========================== **What to consider:** - Start with a country you're familiar with for easier result interpretation - Smaller countries (Switzerland, Denmark) are faster to explore initially - Larger countries (USA, China, India) offer more complex regional dynamics **Recommended first countries:** - **Germany**: Well-documented energy transition with clear renewable targets - **Japan**: Interesting fossil fleet transition dynamics post-Fukushima - **California (USA-CAISO)**: Leading renewable integration policies - **Switzerland**: Clean, simple system perfect for learning the interface Step 2: Explore the Baseline Model ================================== **Understanding the interface:** - **Map view**: Geographic layout of your energy system - **Technology mix**: Current generation capacity by fuel type - **Regional structure**: How demand and supply are spatially organized - **Time structure**: How the year is represented (timeslices) **Key questions to explore:** - What's the current generation mix? - Where are the renewable resources located? - How is demand distributed across regions? - What does the transmission network look like? Step 3: Select a Climate Scenario ================================= **Available scenarios (AR6-based):** - **Current Policies**: Business-as-usual trajectory - **NDC Pledges**: National climate commitments - **Below 2°C**: Moderate climate action - **1.5°C Limit**: Aggressive decarbonization - **Net Zero 2050**: Maximum climate ambition **What changes between scenarios:** - Carbon pricing trajectories - Renewable energy targets - Fossil fuel phase-out timelines - Demand growth patterns - Technology cost assumptions Step 4: Run and Analyze Results ============================== **Key outputs to examine:** - **Capacity expansion**: What new technologies get built? - **Generation patterns**: How does the energy mix evolve? - **Regional dynamics**: Which areas see the most change? - **System costs**: What are the economic implications? - **Emissions trajectory**: Does the scenario meet climate goals? **Comparison tools:** - Side-by-side scenario comparison - Delta views showing changes from baseline - Time-series evolution of key metrics - Regional breakdown of impacts Step 5: Export and Share ======================= **Available exports:** - **Charts**: Publication-ready figures (PNG, SVG) - **Data**: Complete results in CSV/Excel format - **Models**: Full VEDA model files for local analysis - **Reports**: Automated summary documents **Sharing options:** - Direct links to specific scenario results - Embedded charts for presentations - Complete model packages for collaboration Common First Insights ===================== **Typical discoveries:** - Renewable energy dominates new capacity in most scenarios - Storage becomes critical in high-renewable futures - Regional differences in optimal technology mix - Transmission expansion needs for renewable integration - Economic benefits of early climate action **Questions that often arise:** - Why does this technology get selected over that one? - How sensitive are results to cost assumptions? - What happens if demand grows faster/slower? - How do transmission constraints affect results? Troubleshooting =============== **If results seem unexpected:** - Check the scenario assumptions and compare with baseline - Examine regional details - national totals can hide local dynamics - Look at the time dimension - annual averages can mask seasonal patterns - Consider transmission constraints - isolated regions behave differently **If the model runs slowly:** - Try a smaller country first to learn the interface - Use the queue status to understand processing times - Consider upgrading to priority access for faster results Next Steps ========== **Ready to go deeper?** - :doc:`customization-basics` - Make your first model modifications - :doc:`understanding-results` - Detailed guide to interpreting outputs - :doc:`/tutorials/intermediate` - Advanced scenario design - :doc:`/case-studies/policy-analysis` - Real-world policy applications **Want to understand the science?** - :doc:`/methods/stress-timeslices` - How time is represented - :doc:`/methods/renewable-characterization` - How renewable resources are characterized - :doc:`/methods/demands-and-prices` - Economic assumptions and fuel prices .. tip:: The best way to learn energy modeling is by doing. Don't worry about understanding everything immediately - start exploring and the patterns will become clear through experience.